rodnyb
04-06 09:37 PM
I am sure this post be deleted by admin. I am just stating few facts I know here
QSHEMK set up his own blog, and put some ads.. why?
I said this before (and it was deleted, and now I cannot even post a new thread.. I am all green on post, lol). Everyone has his/her own interest, to make the IV work, we have to work together, donation or not, effort or not... all the time, writings ppl put here are contributions....
I appreciate what IV is doing, just saying.. no offense
Guys,
We rode the same wave even last year with many of the same Guru;s predicting the same movement to 2007 and what we saw 2 weeks movement . There was one person called QSHEMK who after that went completely out of the picture or has rejoined with a new name .
Also I have analyzed that people who have a date in 2008 somehow predict that the dates might move to 2008 and people who have a PD of July predict that dates will move to August . This is just an observation and nothing more , and if you go through the threads thats exactly what you will see.
I will be equally benefited as you all will if the predictions come true , but be well prepared for a major heartbreak also like last year .
While it takes a lot of effort from some of the members to crunch such numbers I would be first to extend my sincere gratitude to them for doing this , I would also recommend you all to take the analysis and predictions with a grain of salt and not to raise your hopes too much on these predictions.
It has seldom worked for the last 6 years at least . Hope it does this time . I speak from experience in IV since 2006.
QSHEMK set up his own blog, and put some ads.. why?
I said this before (and it was deleted, and now I cannot even post a new thread.. I am all green on post, lol). Everyone has his/her own interest, to make the IV work, we have to work together, donation or not, effort or not... all the time, writings ppl put here are contributions....
I appreciate what IV is doing, just saying.. no offense
Guys,
We rode the same wave even last year with many of the same Guru;s predicting the same movement to 2007 and what we saw 2 weeks movement . There was one person called QSHEMK who after that went completely out of the picture or has rejoined with a new name .
Also I have analyzed that people who have a date in 2008 somehow predict that the dates might move to 2008 and people who have a PD of July predict that dates will move to August . This is just an observation and nothing more , and if you go through the threads thats exactly what you will see.
I will be equally benefited as you all will if the predictions come true , but be well prepared for a major heartbreak also like last year .
While it takes a lot of effort from some of the members to crunch such numbers I would be first to extend my sincere gratitude to them for doing this , I would also recommend you all to take the analysis and predictions with a grain of salt and not to raise your hopes too much on these predictions.
It has seldom worked for the last 6 years at least . Hope it does this time . I speak from experience in IV since 2006.
wallpaper Archer, and Robot Chicken
mariner5555
01-25 04:23 PM
I recently had to apply for a UK transit visa and the process went smooth as ever. I had to answer a lot of questions for both my wife and myself but after I have done that the process was easy. We just had to show up for finger printing just like for our 485s, send all the necessary documents to the correct address by (reliable) mail and just got emails that our visas have been approved. I have flown with BA before and their service is far better than any other airlines I have flown with before.
I have flown lot of airlines ..I was in merchant navy before. all airlines suck or are o.k (depends on yr view) i.e. they give you standard service.
the fact that you need a transit visa is stupid. they want to make money and in my view who ever pays for a visa for transit is a sucker.all the european airports who need TV control their airports ..not even a fly can go out unless they pass immigration customs etc - so why do they need visa !!. service in an airline depends on the mood of attendants ..so just based on one flight experience - dont say that BA is better than others.
I have flown lot of airlines ..I was in merchant navy before. all airlines suck or are o.k (depends on yr view) i.e. they give you standard service.
the fact that you need a transit visa is stupid. they want to make money and in my view who ever pays for a visa for transit is a sucker.all the european airports who need TV control their airports ..not even a fly can go out unless they pass immigration customs etc - so why do they need visa !!. service in an airline depends on the mood of attendants ..so just based on one flight experience - dont say that BA is better than others.
hpandey
06-10 10:53 AM
Thanks guys .... for coming behind me .. Shane Warne or Purple Haze won't satisfy you guys .. Y dont we discuss how Kanimozhi's discontent couldn't play spoil sport for the new govt and how Azhagiri got cornered with chemicals and fertilizers (these 2 are not any interntaional fame for an american 'tunnel rat' to know abt them).
Above all I am here to get some information to bring a company which violates rules to authorities, nothing more nothing less and not here to do any name calling of mud slinging.
Don't worry buddy.. I am sure these guys were only pulling your leg.
Yeah I am sure everyone should stand up against violations . It doesn't matter if it is done by Americans or Indians or any other national. Just because most of the L1's in this particular case are Indians there is no reason to turn a blind eye to someone breaking the law.
Above all I am here to get some information to bring a company which violates rules to authorities, nothing more nothing less and not here to do any name calling of mud slinging.
Don't worry buddy.. I am sure these guys were only pulling your leg.
Yeah I am sure everyone should stand up against violations . It doesn't matter if it is done by Americans or Indians or any other national. Just because most of the L1's in this particular case are Indians there is no reason to turn a blind eye to someone breaking the law.
2011 Watch Robot Chicken Season 5
addsf345
11-17 02:15 PM
Good suggestion, I didn't ask about EAD, I will check next time. But I guess evantually EAD would be revoked after I485 is denied. I think H1 is a backup plan if MTR denied and till appeal is decided..
I am sending letter CIS ombudsman shortly.
well, EAD is denied when MTR is denied, makes sense. But if you see the information posted by 'desi485' in this other thread (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showpost.php?p=302334&postcount=17), it may remain valid till validity. This is indeed confusing though. Please ask your lawyer and share with us everyone here.
I am sending letter CIS ombudsman shortly.
well, EAD is denied when MTR is denied, makes sense. But if you see the information posted by 'desi485' in this other thread (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showpost.php?p=302334&postcount=17), it may remain valid till validity. This is indeed confusing though. Please ask your lawyer and share with us everyone here.
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abuddyz
01-29 08:51 AM
good point.
We need to track the H1b approval date and the service center that approved it.
For those who don't know, the first three letters of the receipt number in you I-797 H-1b approval notice indicates the service center.
Like SRC is Texas, EAC is Vermont, LIN is nebraska and CSC for california.
Please include this info too.
what about WAC? (I have WAC.)
We need to track the H1b approval date and the service center that approved it.
For those who don't know, the first three letters of the receipt number in you I-797 H-1b approval notice indicates the service center.
Like SRC is Texas, EAC is Vermont, LIN is nebraska and CSC for california.
Please include this info too.
what about WAC? (I have WAC.)
Bpositive
03-24 11:34 PM
I think you have a good case here....I really don't see why they can't hire EAD's. Especially because it is 'discriminatory' as per regs to do so. If the reason is something else, then they should say so.
Maybe they just want you to sue them and then declare bankruptcy..with all their sub-prime credit card exposure, they must be in bad shape..
Maybe they just want you to sue them and then declare bankruptcy..with all their sub-prime credit card exposure, they must be in bad shape..
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letstalklc
09-04 01:19 PM
All,
Lingo came up with the same plan....here is the link below....
https://www.lingo.com/shop/promotions/helloworldmax.jsp
I am not sure how to navigate from LINGO.COM, but the link gives the info...share if any body has exp. with this company....
Lingo came up with the same plan....here is the link below....
https://www.lingo.com/shop/promotions/helloworldmax.jsp
I am not sure how to navigate from LINGO.COM, but the link gives the info...share if any body has exp. with this company....
2010 Winner of the Toy Story 3 on
Milind123
01-27 02:40 AM
It really is amazing how much hot air has been generated on this thread over a well established transit visa requirement.
The reason transit visas are required in the UK is that many passengers with an intention to transit the UK have stayed. The transit visa was introduced as a way of making sure (as much as possible) that the passenger has the intention and the ability to transit the UK and to enter a third country.
The list of nationals that are required to have a visa to transit the UK represents a list of countries where there has been a particular problem with over stayers. It is not race based, but merely an effort to target the problem.
It really does not matter what anyone thinks about the transit visa requirement because it is UK law. Everyone has a choice whether or not to transit the UK. Going back to the original post, to book a ticket without researching visa requirements and then trying to deflect personal responsibility by blaming the visa requirement is ridiculous.
I would say only this. Get yourself admitted into a hospital and get some oxygen pumped into your freaking brain (sorry, if it sounds harsh, but it is the only way to help you to think clearly). Read the post again, please, I beg you. I wrote the post only because the UK embassy overcharged and did not think it is at all necessary to return the excess amount. Regarding your comment about doing the research, let me tell you, there are �idiots� like me who would rather do something else and leave things to logic and former experience. Ordinary people like me have other things to do in life, like managing their day job, negotiating the daily commute, picking their kids from school, taking them to their extracurricular activities, managing their homework, and other things which only end at 10:00pm. Between all this cacophony, how do you think I should managed a situation when my travel agent call me and gives me 5 minutes to decide if I need to take a flight going through such and such city with all legs confirmed, and that too during the month of Nov-Dec?
The reason transit visas are required in the UK is that many passengers with an intention to transit the UK have stayed. The transit visa was introduced as a way of making sure (as much as possible) that the passenger has the intention and the ability to transit the UK and to enter a third country.
The list of nationals that are required to have a visa to transit the UK represents a list of countries where there has been a particular problem with over stayers. It is not race based, but merely an effort to target the problem.
It really does not matter what anyone thinks about the transit visa requirement because it is UK law. Everyone has a choice whether or not to transit the UK. Going back to the original post, to book a ticket without researching visa requirements and then trying to deflect personal responsibility by blaming the visa requirement is ridiculous.
I would say only this. Get yourself admitted into a hospital and get some oxygen pumped into your freaking brain (sorry, if it sounds harsh, but it is the only way to help you to think clearly). Read the post again, please, I beg you. I wrote the post only because the UK embassy overcharged and did not think it is at all necessary to return the excess amount. Regarding your comment about doing the research, let me tell you, there are �idiots� like me who would rather do something else and leave things to logic and former experience. Ordinary people like me have other things to do in life, like managing their day job, negotiating the daily commute, picking their kids from school, taking them to their extracurricular activities, managing their homework, and other things which only end at 10:00pm. Between all this cacophony, how do you think I should managed a situation when my travel agent call me and gives me 5 minutes to decide if I need to take a flight going through such and such city with all legs confirmed, and that too during the month of Nov-Dec?
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pat123
09-20 12:16 PM
Did anyone see any Soft LUDs on their 485 or old EADs before their approvals/RFEs?
My PD is June 7 2006, not current. Yesterday, I had a soft LUD on my 485 and my first EAD. These two haven't seen any activity since early 2009, and I'm wondering if this means anything or if I'm reading into this a little too much.
thanks,
What is your NOTICE Date? Is it somwhere in SEPT 2007?
My PD is June 7 2006, not current. Yesterday, I had a soft LUD on my 485 and my first EAD. These two haven't seen any activity since early 2009, and I'm wondering if this means anything or if I'm reading into this a little too much.
thanks,
What is your NOTICE Date? Is it somwhere in SEPT 2007?
hair Robot Chicken to lampoon
senthil1
04-24 02:59 PM
I think if number of employees are less than 50 then 50% rule will not be applicable(according to 2007 proposed bill). It may be similar to that.
But are n't they proposing 50 % rule.. how can a small desi company afford 50 % US citizen staff ? That is why may be people think consulting companies will not work.
but what I think is it will make them less profitable. Very small body shoppers will go out of business. Med to large indian owner based consulting companies will be less profitable.
Guys with stock investment in indian IT compnies Heads UP !
But are n't they proposing 50 % rule.. how can a small desi company afford 50 % US citizen staff ? That is why may be people think consulting companies will not work.
but what I think is it will make them less profitable. Very small body shoppers will go out of business. Med to large indian owner based consulting companies will be less profitable.
Guys with stock investment in indian IT compnies Heads UP !
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sc3
08-21 12:43 PM
Ok, I had hoped not to bite the bait, but I am human, nothing recharges and roils like someone saying "you are EB3, you are worthless compared to US the mighty EB2s".
The misleading continues
1) "VDLRAO" (no disrespect to his prediction capabilities) says EB2 will be current soon, so why are you raising this voice.
Well, if it is going to be current soon enough, then any action to redirect EB1 numbers should not be a cause of concern for EB2s should it? If you are going to become current soon, then it means there aren't many people waiting in the queue.
2) We should support the visa recapture
You all are assuming that EB3 does not support it. Unlike me, most EB3s are very active in calling, contributing and supporting those events. I have personal reservations about asking for a change in law when I am the direct beneficiary (I feel like those big oil companies who use their clout to get laws favourable to them, nothing wrong, just that I dont like to do it). Having said that, I have no problems in asking and demanding that the law be applied as written.
Once I have my GC done with, I intend to write to the representatives that barring progressive experience in the same company rule should be removed, because it is the experience that matters, not where you get it. Why should someone who chooses to be loyal be discriminated against another who has no qualms about his company's future.
3) You dont have the law on your side, USCIS/DOS only implements the law.
Some within EB2 concede that the law is fuzzy, while others claim there is no basis for our campaign here. Well, there was no basis for so many things that IV has accomplished, and yet, most people accept that we are better off in some ways compared to pre-IV. If you believe that we have no basis, then why bother dissing us? We will make ourselves look like fools. If you believe the law is fuzzy, then you should realize that current interpretation is your luck, not your right.
The misleading continues
1) "VDLRAO" (no disrespect to his prediction capabilities) says EB2 will be current soon, so why are you raising this voice.
Well, if it is going to be current soon enough, then any action to redirect EB1 numbers should not be a cause of concern for EB2s should it? If you are going to become current soon, then it means there aren't many people waiting in the queue.
2) We should support the visa recapture
You all are assuming that EB3 does not support it. Unlike me, most EB3s are very active in calling, contributing and supporting those events. I have personal reservations about asking for a change in law when I am the direct beneficiary (I feel like those big oil companies who use their clout to get laws favourable to them, nothing wrong, just that I dont like to do it). Having said that, I have no problems in asking and demanding that the law be applied as written.
Once I have my GC done with, I intend to write to the representatives that barring progressive experience in the same company rule should be removed, because it is the experience that matters, not where you get it. Why should someone who chooses to be loyal be discriminated against another who has no qualms about his company's future.
3) You dont have the law on your side, USCIS/DOS only implements the law.
Some within EB2 concede that the law is fuzzy, while others claim there is no basis for our campaign here. Well, there was no basis for so many things that IV has accomplished, and yet, most people accept that we are better off in some ways compared to pre-IV. If you believe that we have no basis, then why bother dissing us? We will make ourselves look like fools. If you believe the law is fuzzy, then you should realize that current interpretation is your luck, not your right.
hot Toy Story 3 was Newt,
eb_retrogession
01-17 10:01 AM
An article in news talking about immigrtion reform bill:
http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/stories/2006/01/16/focus5.html?from_rss=1
The gist of it below:
Employers concerned about access to foreign-born talent at the higher-skill end of the scale may also find that the New Year brings good news, of a sort. If the border security and guest worker issues are dealt with early in the year, some in Congress are evidently preparing to try and "fix" the employment-based immigration system, originally designed in 1952, which has become close to unworkable.
However, a Congress fractured on immigration policy most likely lacks the political will to fully reengineer the system. Instead of a major renovation to make the U.S. competitive in the global market for highly skilled talent, there probably will be only the usual technical fixes around the edges.
Good post.
We need to be prepared whenever they decide to work on this. Our involvement may make a huge differecce with the "fixes". The can't fix anything unless they understand what needs to be fixed. We need to start educating the lawmakers.
http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/stories/2006/01/16/focus5.html?from_rss=1
The gist of it below:
Employers concerned about access to foreign-born talent at the higher-skill end of the scale may also find that the New Year brings good news, of a sort. If the border security and guest worker issues are dealt with early in the year, some in Congress are evidently preparing to try and "fix" the employment-based immigration system, originally designed in 1952, which has become close to unworkable.
However, a Congress fractured on immigration policy most likely lacks the political will to fully reengineer the system. Instead of a major renovation to make the U.S. competitive in the global market for highly skilled talent, there probably will be only the usual technical fixes around the edges.
Good post.
We need to be prepared whenever they decide to work on this. Our involvement may make a huge differecce with the "fixes". The can't fix anything unless they understand what needs to be fixed. We need to start educating the lawmakers.
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gcForV
07-11 01:56 PM
No disrespect to Al-Jazeera. But putting our story on that channel is not a good idea. People view anything on it with lot of suspicion, and Fox news interprets everybody Al-Jazeera sympathizes with as you know what.
Don't come after me for saying this, its not my opinion. But general opinion that I have observed from people who are not well informed(read majority of people). Lets focus on the main stream media in US, outside coverage is not that significant anyway.
Come on guys. I dont sympathize with Al-Jazeera nor do I read and nor do I like them. But we shouldnt be making statements like this.
Dont underestimate backhome news media like rediff/deccan/TOI/hindu.
Me violating my own stmt ;-)
Don't come after me for saying this, its not my opinion. But general opinion that I have observed from people who are not well informed(read majority of people). Lets focus on the main stream media in US, outside coverage is not that significant anyway.
Come on guys. I dont sympathize with Al-Jazeera nor do I read and nor do I like them. But we shouldnt be making statements like this.
Dont underestimate backhome news media like rediff/deccan/TOI/hindu.
Me violating my own stmt ;-)
tattoo Robot Chicken
desi3933
06-18 12:29 PM
....
The fact is there aren't enough quality resources to be picked from GC/Citizen pool. That is the reason companies are willing to deal with complex immigration laws for hiring a non-immigrant worker....
I agree with you. If the employee is good, most companies (my workplace included) sponsor H-1B visa to get the resource. However, in the current market environment, the available supply of resources outnumbers the job demand.
So many people on H-1B/EAD/GC are looking for job. On the other hand, companies are under tremendous pressure to reduce the cost. Its common to see forced unpaid leave (furlough) for employees.
The current recession is far worse than 2001-2002 recession, in my opinion.
.
The fact is there aren't enough quality resources to be picked from GC/Citizen pool. That is the reason companies are willing to deal with complex immigration laws for hiring a non-immigrant worker....
I agree with you. If the employee is good, most companies (my workplace included) sponsor H-1B visa to get the resource. However, in the current market environment, the available supply of resources outnumbers the job demand.
So many people on H-1B/EAD/GC are looking for job. On the other hand, companies are under tremendous pressure to reduce the cost. Its common to see forced unpaid leave (furlough) for employees.
The current recession is far worse than 2001-2002 recession, in my opinion.
.
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singhsa3
08-20 09:29 PM
So what are the alternatives?
Yes true but passing of Vise arecapture bill is like waiting for 'Kumbhkaran' to wake up, they've been sleeping for 4-5 years what is the gurantee that they'll not sleep for another 5 years on the immigration bills ?
Yes true but passing of Vise arecapture bill is like waiting for 'Kumbhkaran' to wake up, they've been sleeping for 4-5 years what is the gurantee that they'll not sleep for another 5 years on the immigration bills ?
dresses DM#39;s Commentary: Damp;D Robot
rockyrock
07-31 03:52 PM
Pappu, special thanks for researching this topic, and posting updates regularly.
Last week I too consulted a high profile (about $200 per 15 minutes... you should be able to guess, I am not sure I am alowed to mention the name) lawyer to discuss this issue. To give you a brief background, my lawyer did not include the Employment Verification letter
1) He told me that he would re-submit the AOS. The comparison to the medical clearance requirement, according to him, was pointless, as they are two different things. If USCIS issues a statement they will not reject solely based on the EVL, then we can assume that is the truth. Their statement on Medical clearance cannot be interpreted to say they won't reject on the basis of another missing requirement, say the EVL.
2) Filing two AOS packets can indeed also cause confusion, but it is a smaller risk according to him, and should be mitigated by a covering letter that says you are re-submitting to provide the XYZ document that was missed from the first packet.
Based on this info, I have asked my lawyer to get a confirmation from the USCIS on the document that he missed in my case-- the EVL. If USCIS okays that, we do not resubmit. If they don't do that within a week, I will try to re-submit... not going to be easy considering my lawyer may not be in agreement... but that is what would be the correct way out of this, according to the second opinion I got last week.
Thanks!
just a question on #2 above - if you are filing second AOS with EVL, why not just withdraw the first AOS once you get the receipt? Wouldn't this be safer?
Last week I too consulted a high profile (about $200 per 15 minutes... you should be able to guess, I am not sure I am alowed to mention the name) lawyer to discuss this issue. To give you a brief background, my lawyer did not include the Employment Verification letter
1) He told me that he would re-submit the AOS. The comparison to the medical clearance requirement, according to him, was pointless, as they are two different things. If USCIS issues a statement they will not reject solely based on the EVL, then we can assume that is the truth. Their statement on Medical clearance cannot be interpreted to say they won't reject on the basis of another missing requirement, say the EVL.
2) Filing two AOS packets can indeed also cause confusion, but it is a smaller risk according to him, and should be mitigated by a covering letter that says you are re-submitting to provide the XYZ document that was missed from the first packet.
Based on this info, I have asked my lawyer to get a confirmation from the USCIS on the document that he missed in my case-- the EVL. If USCIS okays that, we do not resubmit. If they don't do that within a week, I will try to re-submit... not going to be easy considering my lawyer may not be in agreement... but that is what would be the correct way out of this, according to the second opinion I got last week.
Thanks!
just a question on #2 above - if you are filing second AOS with EVL, why not just withdraw the first AOS once you get the receipt? Wouldn't this be safer?
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makeup While Robot Chicken could rest
Devils_Advocate
03-10 09:27 AM
I strongly support this thread and the message. Lets make an action plan how to pursue this.
Devils_Advocate: I know your type. But you must also understand that unless the line in front of you is cleared, you and I will go down the drain. You are talking about EAD. I dont even have that, yet I support this.
Your thinking appears narrow minded. Wake up.
Dont give me that BS ok, if you know my type then i know your "type" as well. FYI i dont have an EAD as yet either, and Mr YOU need to wake up, if you actually think US Govt will skip your full GC step and give you citizenship in this environment where they are deporting valid H1B holders from the POE then my friend you are nothing less than insane, nobody gives a sh*t about us right now, if you're so over your head and fail to realize that then go ahead i wish you all the best.
I sincerely request you to promise us that you will stand for public office when they give you your "expedited citizenship" and change some rules for the benefit of all of us.:)
Devils_Advocate: I know your type. But you must also understand that unless the line in front of you is cleared, you and I will go down the drain. You are talking about EAD. I dont even have that, yet I support this.
Your thinking appears narrow minded. Wake up.
Dont give me that BS ok, if you know my type then i know your "type" as well. FYI i dont have an EAD as yet either, and Mr YOU need to wake up, if you actually think US Govt will skip your full GC step and give you citizenship in this environment where they are deporting valid H1B holders from the POE then my friend you are nothing less than insane, nobody gives a sh*t about us right now, if you're so over your head and fail to realize that then go ahead i wish you all the best.
I sincerely request you to promise us that you will stand for public office when they give you your "expedited citizenship" and change some rules for the benefit of all of us.:)
girlfriend Kids Crocs Lovely Toy Story
desi3933
06-18 11:11 AM
.......
However, the current "run to the DOL/ICE" approach that you guys are taking may have repercussions well beyond you had bargained for.
......
Are you suggesting the fraud should not be reported?
Its like saying that do not report burglary in your home, as thief may do something bad to the family. Typical scare the victim approach.
However, the current "run to the DOL/ICE" approach that you guys are taking may have repercussions well beyond you had bargained for.
......
Are you suggesting the fraud should not be reported?
Its like saying that do not report burglary in your home, as thief may do something bad to the family. Typical scare the victim approach.
hairstyles Toy Trifecta: Marvel, She-Ra,
Irs
04-01 04:31 AM
rodnyb (read your reply from Yesterday at 1:18 on page 7 of this blog.
All, The data rodnyb used is from Oct 2010 inventory where as I used Jan 2011 inventory data. This is my analysis..... Point out if I am wrong on any of my assumptions and I would be happy to correct myself and the data ...
The following are my assumptions based on the data available on Jan 05 2011 from
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/statistics/Employment%20Based%20I-485%20Pending%20Inventory%20as%20of%20January%2005 ,%202011.pdf
Assumptions are
No applications are remaining before May 2006 (based on current priority dates)
Consolidated information is as follows the data taken is from above USCIS link.
World Inventory EB2 (http://irscjb.blogspot.com/2011/03/eb2-analysis-employment-based-485.html)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
18850 15918 1073 3383 3411
India(Assumption there is 1 application(India Born) in every 2 applications received by USCIS Based on Aug 07 (185 applications - world inventory above)Vs Aug 07 95 applications - INDIA below ) based on (95/185 ~ 0.5), probability, the data from August 2007 onwards to end of 2010 is from India born applicants
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
January 1540 36 78 160.5
February 1444 30 63.5 172.5
March 1404 36 102 187
April 1420 49.5 101.5 189
May 1110 1070 53.5 114 186.5
June 1696 1272 46.5 141.5 252
July 1505 1673 53 122.5 168.5
August 1677 95 46 163 200
Sept 1745 15.5 42 163 115
October 1747 25.5 42 301.5 39.5
Nov 1737 24 32 175.5 33
Dec 1881 20.5 70 165.5 2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
13098 10003.5 536.5 1691.5 1705.5
Based on the data of world inventory of May 2005 there are 1165 applications for EB2 and out of which 1110 is for India. Hence there is only 45 applications for the rest of the world for that month.
For Oct - Dec 2010
EB4/5 - 348 applicants
Eb1 - 1252 applicants
If considered that there are same number of applicants for Jan - April 2011 then from Oct 2010 to April 2010
EB4/5 - 696 applicants
EB1 - 2504 applicants
Expect at least for 6 months
9.3K from EB4/EB5 (total of 20K for EB4/5 and 10K for 6 months and after utilizing ~ 700)
18.8K from EB1 (42672 total and 21336 for 6months and after utilizing ~ 2500)
21.3 K from EB2 including ROW
I expect a total of 49K and considering porting of EB3 to EB2 & others it would be around 40K
With that said...
I dream to be current
Also, if there are 1 additional beneficiaries to the primary beneficiaries, then this 40K would become 20K in that case, I expect
Jan 2007 for India
if there are any 0.75 additional beneficiaries to the primary beneficiaries, then this 40K would become 30K in that case, I expect
June 2007 India
http://irscjb.blogspot.com/2011/03/eb2-analysis-employment-based-485.html - Complete blog.
All, The data rodnyb used is from Oct 2010 inventory where as I used Jan 2011 inventory data. This is my analysis..... Point out if I am wrong on any of my assumptions and I would be happy to correct myself and the data ...
The following are my assumptions based on the data available on Jan 05 2011 from
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/statistics/Employment%20Based%20I-485%20Pending%20Inventory%20as%20of%20January%2005 ,%202011.pdf
Assumptions are
No applications are remaining before May 2006 (based on current priority dates)
Consolidated information is as follows the data taken is from above USCIS link.
World Inventory EB2 (http://irscjb.blogspot.com/2011/03/eb2-analysis-employment-based-485.html)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
18850 15918 1073 3383 3411
India(Assumption there is 1 application(India Born) in every 2 applications received by USCIS Based on Aug 07 (185 applications - world inventory above)Vs Aug 07 95 applications - INDIA below ) based on (95/185 ~ 0.5), probability, the data from August 2007 onwards to end of 2010 is from India born applicants
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
January 1540 36 78 160.5
February 1444 30 63.5 172.5
March 1404 36 102 187
April 1420 49.5 101.5 189
May 1110 1070 53.5 114 186.5
June 1696 1272 46.5 141.5 252
July 1505 1673 53 122.5 168.5
August 1677 95 46 163 200
Sept 1745 15.5 42 163 115
October 1747 25.5 42 301.5 39.5
Nov 1737 24 32 175.5 33
Dec 1881 20.5 70 165.5 2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
13098 10003.5 536.5 1691.5 1705.5
Based on the data of world inventory of May 2005 there are 1165 applications for EB2 and out of which 1110 is for India. Hence there is only 45 applications for the rest of the world for that month.
For Oct - Dec 2010
EB4/5 - 348 applicants
Eb1 - 1252 applicants
If considered that there are same number of applicants for Jan - April 2011 then from Oct 2010 to April 2010
EB4/5 - 696 applicants
EB1 - 2504 applicants
Expect at least for 6 months
9.3K from EB4/EB5 (total of 20K for EB4/5 and 10K for 6 months and after utilizing ~ 700)
18.8K from EB1 (42672 total and 21336 for 6months and after utilizing ~ 2500)
21.3 K from EB2 including ROW
I expect a total of 49K and considering porting of EB3 to EB2 & others it would be around 40K
With that said...
I dream to be current
Also, if there are 1 additional beneficiaries to the primary beneficiaries, then this 40K would become 20K in that case, I expect
Jan 2007 for India
if there are any 0.75 additional beneficiaries to the primary beneficiaries, then this 40K would become 30K in that case, I expect
June 2007 India
http://irscjb.blogspot.com/2011/03/eb2-analysis-employment-based-485.html - Complete blog.
django.stone
09-26 07:03 PM
I agree with 485Mbe4001 and many other folks on this thread that have talked about the results of Obama victory - USA would face socialist policies and personally our GCs could be affected by protectionist agenda. I have never understood why Indians (even 2nd generation) by default support Democrats, when all the values and rational reasons point us towards Republicans. I am libertarian in my views and a staunch supporter of republicans.
Reasons for Immigrants to support Democrats -
1. Generally religion neutral and not influenced by christian right wing
2. Generally tolerant of people from other cultures rather than being a party of white folks run by white men
3. Tendency to help human/environment suffering
4. Afraid of military draft that could recruit our kids
Immigration
Now coming to the issue on hand, overall roughly 60% to 80% of americans do not want any kind of immigration (check wikipedia). That is the unfortunate truth! We should all be lucky to be here due to generally business friendly laws that allows for H1B visas and EB GCs for skilled labor. If left to public, immigration would be banned. Hence, I believe both parties use this as a posturing issue during elections to their favor. khodalmd in the previous thread explained the breakdown of republicans/democrats accurately. Logically speaking, republicans can be convinced about its need to sustain economy and generate taxes as more baby boomers retire, but this logic is these days trumped by mix up with illegals.
If Obama wins, economy/stock market would tank, more jobs would be outsourced. My fear is that during those times, any kind of immigration law would not pass. If god forbid, layoffs start to roll, then many of us may have to start from scratch, hence I call it perfect storm.
Reasons for Immigrants to support Democrats -
1. Generally religion neutral and not influenced by christian right wing
2. Generally tolerant of people from other cultures rather than being a party of white folks run by white men
3. Tendency to help human/environment suffering
4. Afraid of military draft that could recruit our kids
Immigration
Now coming to the issue on hand, overall roughly 60% to 80% of americans do not want any kind of immigration (check wikipedia). That is the unfortunate truth! We should all be lucky to be here due to generally business friendly laws that allows for H1B visas and EB GCs for skilled labor. If left to public, immigration would be banned. Hence, I believe both parties use this as a posturing issue during elections to their favor. khodalmd in the previous thread explained the breakdown of republicans/democrats accurately. Logically speaking, republicans can be convinced about its need to sustain economy and generate taxes as more baby boomers retire, but this logic is these days trumped by mix up with illegals.
If Obama wins, economy/stock market would tank, more jobs would be outsourced. My fear is that during those times, any kind of immigration law would not pass. If god forbid, layoffs start to roll, then many of us may have to start from scratch, hence I call it perfect storm.
Ramba
09-24 06:48 PM
Lot of analysis. Here is my part. If DOS properly followed the INA as amended by AC21 act in 2000, EB2-I never retrogressed since year 2005. EB2 I might have been always �current�. EB3 including ROW might have been much worst situation than now. EB3-IN will always be in disaster state. Though it is unfair to (EB3) many, this is what the law. In later part of 1990s EB categories were retrogressed for IN, CH by about 2 years. When AC21 law passed in 2000, it did two very important things. One recapture of about 216,000 EB visas and it removed country quota in each EB category if excess visas available, in that category. That means it enforced horizontal spill over. In simple example, consider Mexico which is most subscribing country. Lets assume in a fiscal year, 40,000 Mexican are eligible for EB2 visa(and no other citizens in EB2), and millions of Mexican eligible for EB3 and in family based categories, still DOS should issue 40,000 EB2 visa to Mexicans irrespective of how much demand in other categories. Because of tons of backlogs in 485 (between 2000 and 2004), particularly in EB3, DOS issued about 185000 (out of 216000) to EB3. That�s why EB3 was current between 2000 and 2004. They simply ignored the EB2 demand by India and retrogressed in 2005, though total demand for EB2 less than the available pool of recaptured visas. Since the year 2007, they realized the mistake and now (since 2007) they are following correctly (though may not fair) the law. If they follow correctly the law, EB2-IN, Ch will become current soon. Till all EB2 become current, EB3 never see any spill over. Till EB3 �ROW become current, EB3 IN will not see any spill over. Till that point EB3-In will get only 2800 EB3 visas.